Tuesday, September 28, 2010

Prediction Paradox

With the world & its wife expecting David Miliband to step back from frontline politics following brother Ed's victory in the Labour leadership, it's worth noting the confident & unequivical tone of counterintuitive commentary by the Oldham Echo's Ian Hernon (http://www.liverpoolecho.co.uk/liverpool-news/local-news/2010/09/28/david-miliband-signals-he-will-work-under-his-younger-brother-100252-27353885/ ).
Hernon proclaims:
"[David Miliband] scotched speculation that he might walk away from the Shadow Cabinet elections after losing the leadership by a wafer thin margin to Ed."
Of course, it is possible that all the pundits are wrong & that the elder Miliband brother will stand in the Shadow Cabinet elections. However, given his departure for London immediately after Ed's speech in Manchester, during which he visibly smarted at criticism of the decision to support Bush's Iraq war (http://www.guardian.co.uk/politics/2010/sep/28/david-miliband-harriet-harman ), that doesn't seem likely.

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